As per the latest exit poll projections, the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance in Maharashtra, comprising the Shiv Sena faction led by Eknath Shinde and Ajit Pawar’s NCP faction, is poised to retain power in the state. In contrast, Jharkhand’s electoral contest remains tight, with the BJP-led NDA expected to secure a narrow edge over the JMM-Congress alliance.
Maharashtra Exit Poll Predictions:
Three separate exit polls indicate a strong performance by the Mahayuti alliance, with predictions ranging between 150 and 170 seats. The alliance is expected to easily cross the majority mark of 145 seats in the 288-member Maharashtra Assembly. The specific seat projections are as follows:
1. Matrize Forecast: Mahayuti between 150–170 seats, while MVA (Congress, Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena, and Sharad Pawar’s NCP faction) could win 110–130 seats.
2. Chanakya Survey: Mahayuti predicted to secure 152–160 seats, and MVA around 130–138 seats.
3. Times Now-JVC Exit Poll: Mahayuti is expected to win 159 seats, with MVA securing 116 seats.
The combined predictions from these exit polls point to Mahayuti winning 158 seats, with MVA claiming 123 seats. Notably, the election outcome will be decided by the counting of votes on November 23.
Jharkhand Exit Poll Predictions:
In Jharkhand, the BJP-led NDA is expected to edge out the JMM-Congress alliance, though the competition is tight. Exit poll results predict the NDA will win anywhere from 42 to 47 seats in the 81-member Jharkhand Assembly, surpassing the halfway mark of 41 seats. The projections for the JMM-Congress alliance are as follows:
1. Matrize Forecast: NDA likely to win 42–47 seats, while JMM-Congress may secure 25–30 seats.
2. Chanakya Survey: NDA predicted to win 45–50 seats, with JMM-Congress at 35–38 seats.
3. Times Now-JVC Exit Poll: NDA is predicted to win 40–44 seats, while JMM-Congress is likely to claim 30–40 seats.
The poll of these exit surveys combined suggests the NDA will win 45 seats, with JMM-Congress securing 33 seats. C-Voter, providing a projection for 61 seats, forecasts NDA winning 34 seats, while the INDIA alliance (JMM-Congress) may secure 26 seats, leaving 20 seats too close to call.
The final results for both Maharashtra and Jharkhand will be announced on November 23, following the completion of vote counting.
