By Sampadak Express Editorial Desk
Published: October 7, 2025
As Bihar prepares for its high-stakes Assembly elections in November 2025, political momentum is building across the state. The battle lines are drawn between the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the opposition INDIA bloc, with voters set to decide the future of governance in Patna. This article offers a detailed analysis of the key players, vote share projections, and emerging trends shaping the Bihar elections.
Bihar Assembly Elections 2025: What’s at Stake?
The Bihar Assembly elections will take place in two phases on November 6 and 11, with counting scheduled for November 14. With 243 seats up for grabs, both the NDA and INDIA bloc are mobilizing their full strength to secure a majority.
NDA’s Strategy: Stability, Development, and Seat Arithmetic
The NDA currently holds 131 seats, comprising BJP (80), JD(U) (45), HAM(S) (4), and two Independents. Riding on its strong performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the alliance is focusing on governance continuity and welfare schemes such as free electricity, piped water, and job creation.
However, internal negotiations over seat-sharing remain tense. Chirag Paswan’s LJP (Ram Vilas) is reportedly demanding 40 seats, while other allies like Jitan Ram Manjhi and Upendra Kushwaha are also pushing for larger shares. Despite these challenges, the NDA aims to present a united front.
INDIA Bloc’s Pitch: Youth, Caste Coalition, and Tejashwi’s Appeal
The INDIA bloc, led by Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD, includes Congress, CPI(ML), CPI(M), and CPI. With 111 seats in the outgoing Assembly, the alliance is banking on its Muslim-Yadav vote base and Tejashwi’s youth-centric promises. These include job creation, law and order reform, and curbing migration.
Congress’ Voter Adhikar Yatra and CPI(ML)’s grassroots campaigns add depth to the bloc’s outreach. Nevertheless, internal family disputes and legal troubles could hinder its momentum.
Jan Suraaj: The Disruptor in Bihar Politics
Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, though new, has built a strong ground presence. With a projected 7% vote share and 2–5 seats, the party could influence the final outcome, especially in close contests.
Opinion Poll Snapshot
According to the IANS-Matrize Opinion Poll:
| Alliance/Party | Projected Vote Share | Projected Seats |
|---|---|---|
| NDA | 49% | 150–160 |
| INDIA Bloc | 36% | 70–85 |
| Jan Suraaj | 7% | 2–5 |
| Others | 8% | 7–10 |
Final Take: Bihar’s Political Crossroads
The Bihar elections are more than a contest between two alliances — they reflect a deeper shift in voter priorities, leadership styles, and coalition dynamics. While the NDA enjoys a numerical edge, the INDIA bloc’s emotional appeal and caste strategy could reshape the narrative. Meanwhile, Jan Suraaj’s rise adds a third dimension to the electoral equation.
📌 Reviewed and Edited for Clarity & Impact by Deepak
